Sunday, April 8, 2007

Who do ya like?

After this week's round of Derby preps, it's even harder to hitch your wagon to one horse that you think will prevail on May 5 in Louisville.
Nobiz Like Shobiz looked like gangbusters winning the Wood Memorial; Cowtown Cat (whom we extolled the virtues of after he won the Gotham Stakes last month) prevailed in the Illinois Derby, while Giacomo's little half-brother, Tiago, took the Santa Anita Derby at big odds.
This Saturday, the Blue Grass Stakes at Keeneland will be the final tune-up for last year's 2-year-old champ Street Sense, who exits a rousing nose score over Any Given Saturday in the Tampa Bay Derby. The field for the Blue Grass will feature California invader and Pa.-bred Great Hunter, while Rick Porter's Hard Spun is said to be on the fence, according to his trainer, J. Larry Jones.
If Hard Spun defects, the race becomes much less interesting, so here's hoping his name is dropped in the entry box.
Here's an interesting note: Street Sense was shedrowed at Churchill Downs Saturday because the track at Churchill Downs was listed as "frozen." That's a real rarity for this time of year! The weather in Kentucky is often unpredictable in the spring - sometimes Derby Day is as hot as Hades, while other times it's downright cold.
At this point, if you put a gun to my head and made me give my Derby selection, I'd be leaning towards Nobiz Like Shobiz, and I'd use Cowtown Cat and Any Given Saturday in exotics.
One final thought: The unfortunate split between Churchill Downs, Inc. and the TVG Network will cost fans the opportunity to watch Derby horses in their final tuneups for the big day, as "The Works" was canned. Last year, we used "The Works" to sniff out our exacta horse, Bluegrass Cat, who capped a monster payout with the winner, Barbaro.


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