Okay, so the Derby posts were drawn yesterday and I've had a chance to analyze the past performances of the 20 horses that will run on Saturday. I've really missed being able to watch the workouts since that great TVG show, "The Works," was cancelled, so I'm not feeling as confident as I was last year. In 2006, if you watched "The Works," you would have known that Bluegrass Cat and Barbaro put in the best tuneups for the Derby, and they ended up paired in the $500+ exacta.
Another thing I've done differently this year is not reading as much about the race on all the web sites that are out there - sometimes you can be overloaded with information. I'm just sticking to the past performances and keeping up on any breaking news that comes across the AP wire.
So, here are my thoughts on Derby 2007: I really believe Hard Spun worked too fast on Tuesday, and I won't be using him. Yes, I know it's sacreligious to throw out the "local" horse, and I happen to really like his trainer and owner, but it seems to me he got away from the rider and worked two seconds faster than the game plan. I won't be using Great Hunter from post 20. I don't like Curlin, who has only three starts to his credit. I was going to use Any Given Saturday, but his Wood Memorial looks to me like a step backwards. Cowtown Cat's numbers aren't in the same league as some of the others in the field.
I will be playing Street Sense to win, along with small saver win bets on Nobiz Like Shobiz and Scat Daddy. I will be boxing Street Sense, Nobiz Like Shobiz, Scat Daddy and Circular Quay in exactas and trifectas, and my longshot bomber-play is ... drumroll, please ... Sam P.!
Good luck and happy Derby day!
Doc
2 comments:
Great artictle ,
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Feel good......
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